Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Celta
24.3%
Draw
23.5%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Celta
vs
1.10
Betis
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).