Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Oxford
34.9%
Draw
37.9%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Oxford
vs
1.00
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.7%
0-1
15.4%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).