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DHT: 11CSV

01 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.3%
Grimsby
23.9%
Draw
19.7%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Grimsby

vs
0.83

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).