Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Doncaster
16.6%
Draw
13.7%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Doncaster
vs
0.98
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).