Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Cagliari
27.1%
Draw
30.0%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Cagliari
vs
1.05
Spal
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).