Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Oviedo
25.2%
Draw
30.3%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Oviedo
vs
1.20
Castellon
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).