Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
AFC Wimbledon
26.3%
Draw
16.5%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.61
Barrow
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
13.2%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
10.9%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.5%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).