Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.8%
CSKA Moskva
22.7%
Draw
4.4%
Fakel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
CSKA Moskva
vs
0.26
Fakel
Markets
BTTS19.4%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.3%
2-0
20.3%
0-0
15.0%
3-0
11.4%
1-1
7.0%
2-1
5.3%
4-0
4.8%
3-1
3.0%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).