Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.3%
Aves
20.2%
Draw
67.6%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Aves
vs
1.89
Benfica
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
8.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).