Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Salford
24.6%
Draw
30.8%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Salford
vs
1.20
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).