Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Salernitana
32.1%
Draw
40.9%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Salernitana
vs
1.19
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).