Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Torino
26.1%
Draw
30.8%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Torino
vs
1.13
Spal
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).