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DHT: 11CSV

29 Nov 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.2%
Paris FC
31.5%
Draw
29.3%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Paris FC

vs
0.83

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS35.6%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.4%
0-0
15.4%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).