Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Lazio
27.4%
Draw
23.7%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Lazio
vs
0.85
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).