Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Getafe
25.8%
Draw
56.7%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Getafe
vs
1.59
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).