Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Reading
27.3%
Draw
18.9%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Reading
vs
0.82
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).