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AHT: 01CSV

22 Jan 2023 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.8%
Gaziantep
30.4%
Draw
26.8%
Sivasspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Gaziantep

vs
1.24

Sivasspor

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).