Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.1%
Real Madrid
10.5%
Draw
3.4%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
Real Madrid
vs
0.42
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.6%
3-0
14.6%
1-0
11.0%
4-0
10.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
5-0
5.7%
1-1
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
0-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).