Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Las Palmas
28.8%
Draw
35.0%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Las Palmas
vs
1.15
Girona
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).