Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Katowice
22.1%
Draw
14.2%
Nieciecza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Katowice
vs
0.86
Nieciecza
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).