Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Como
31.4%
Draw
38.5%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Como
vs
1.20
Genoa
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).