Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Farense
28.0%
Draw
27.4%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Farense
vs
0.90
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).