Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Thun
25.7%
Draw
13.0%
Sion
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Thun
vs
0.76
Sion
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).