Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Ascoli
28.4%
Draw
15.6%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Ascoli
vs
0.67
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).