Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Magdeburg
25.6%
Draw
25.9%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Magdeburg
vs
1.24
Ulm
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).