Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.9%
Thun
8.2%
Draw
2.8%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
3.71
Thun
vs
0.70
Inter
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.581.7%
Over 3.564.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.3%
4-0
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
5-0
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
5-1
5.0%
1-0
3.9%
1-1
3.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).