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AHT: 10

10 May 2025 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.4%
Vorskla
33.6%
Draw
25.1%
Chornomorets

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Vorskla

vs
0.73

Chornomorets

Markets

BTTS33.6%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.6%
1-0
17.3%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).