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23 Sept 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.7%
Laval
23.9%
Draw
50.5%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Laval

vs
1.51

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.4%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).