Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.3%
Vålerenga
12.0%
Draw
7.7%
Lillestrøm
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05
Vålerenga
vs
0.89
Lillestrøm
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
1-1
5.2%
5-0
4.3%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).