Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Hammarby
27.0%
Draw
19.3%
Panathinaikos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Hammarby
vs
0.90
Panathinaikos
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).