Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
18.7%
Draw
29.3%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.85
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS77.0%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.580.6%
Over 3.562.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
1-1
5.9%
3-2
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
3-3
3.5%
4-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).