Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Malmö FF
29.9%
Draw
55.1%
Mjällby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Malmö FF
vs
1.40
Mjällby
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-0
14.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
2-0
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).