Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.2%
Charlton
20.8%
Draw
15.0%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Charlton
vs
0.70
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).