Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Carrarese
29.8%
Draw
23.1%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Carrarese
vs
0.90
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).