Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.4%
Ipswich
12.3%
Draw
4.3%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Ipswich
vs
0.54
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
3-0
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
5.8%
5-0
5.0%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.0%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).