Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.6%
Yeni Malatyaspor
27.0%
Draw
59.4%
Rizespor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Yeni Malatyaspor
vs
1.89
Rizespor
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-2
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).