Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
RB Leipzig
23.5%
Draw
13.6%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
RB Leipzig
vs
0.74
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).