Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Eibar
28.5%
Draw
24.1%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Eibar
vs
0.83
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).