Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Lorient
24.1%
Draw
35.3%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Lorient
vs
1.32
Lille
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).