Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Ayr
29.5%
Draw
17.7%
Airdrie Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Ayr
vs
0.80
Airdrie Utd
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).