Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.2%
Birmingham
10.7%
Draw
4.1%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Birmingham
vs
0.38
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS28.7%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.2%
3-0
14.9%
1-0
13.7%
4-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
5-0
5.0%
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).