Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.5%
Benfica
10.2%
Draw
3.2%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Benfica
vs
0.49
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
3-0
13.8%
4-0
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
5-0
6.2%
4-1
5.0%
1-1
4.9%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).