Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
Paris FC
20.0%
Draw
12.2%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Paris FC
vs
0.59
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).