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26 Feb 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.7%
Stockport
18.9%
Draw
8.4%
Weymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Stockport

vs
0.62

Weymouth

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).