Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.4%
Fenerbahce
16.6%
Draw
7.0%
Kasımpaşa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
Fenerbahce
vs
0.84
Kasımpaşa
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.7%
4-0
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
0-0
4.2%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).