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AHT: 22CSV

23 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.9%
Wrexham
13.3%
Draw
3.8%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.53

Wrexham

vs
0.41

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS31.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.9%
3-0
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-1
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
5-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
0-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).