Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Famalicao
21.3%
Draw
8.4%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Famalicao
vs
0.50
Boavista
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-0
10.3%
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).