Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.3%
Hatayspor
11.3%
Draw
84.4%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Hatayspor
vs
3.45
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.593.7%
Over 2.580.1%
Over 3.562.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.4%
0-2
8.2%
0-4
8.1%
1-3
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
1-4
6.8%
0-5
5.6%
1-1
5.0%
1-5
4.7%
0-1
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).