Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.5%
Sp Braga
10.7%
Draw
4.9%
Chaves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Sp Braga
vs
0.53
Chaves
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
3-0
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
4-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
5-0
5.2%
1-1
5.0%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
3.3%
5-1
2.8%
0-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).