Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Kilmarnock
22.0%
Draw
62.0%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Kilmarnock
vs
1.99
Hearts
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).